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Thursday, November 13, 2025

Title: Weekly Retail Lending & Leasing Hot Sheet: Nov 7–13, 2025

Weekly Retail Lending & Leasing Intelligence: November 7–13, 2025 | Global Lending Insights

Weekly Retail Lending & Leasing Intelligence

November 7–13, 2025 | U.S.-Centric. AI-Enhanced. Executive-Level Insight.

This week’s intelligence briefing delivers actionable regulatory analysis, quantified market momentum, enterprise-grade AI software evaluations, senior talent benchmarks, and high-ROI financing structures—all calibrated for C-suite and senior origination, risk, and technology leaders in retail lending and equipment leasing.

Regulatory Developments: Compliance Risk Mitigation

CFPB Finalizes Section 1071 Narrowing (Nov 13)

  • Initial data collection limited to business loans, lines of credit, and credit cards ≥ $500,000.
  • Smaller lenders (< 100 originations/year) receive full reporting exemption through 2028.
  • Impact: Reduces operational burden by ~68% for community banks; comment period closes Q1 2026.
  • Action Item: Reassess HMDA-like data pipelines; prioritize API integrations with core systems.

TILA Small-Loan Exemption Threshold Rises to $71,900 (Jan 1, 2026)

  • Applies to closed-end consumer loans; triggers enhanced disclosure and ability-to-repay rules above threshold.
  • Portfolio Effect: ~12% of sub-$70K retail installment contracts shift into exempt status.

FDIC Examination Manual Update (Nov 7): Heightened focus on third-party oversight and UDAAP in digital lending channels. Expect expanded MRAs in 2026 exams.

Market & Economic Indicators: Momentum & Risk Signals

MetricValueΔ vs PriorImplication
ELFA Equipment Finance Confidence Index68.4↑ 4.2 ptsHighest since May 2023; signals robust capex demand
Q3 New Business Volume+$18.3B↑ 8.6% YoYDriven by transportation & IT equipment
Fed Senior Loan Officer Survey+14%Net easingFirst positive reading in 3 years
CRE Delinquency Rate (Regional Banks)1.8%↓ 20 bpsRetail-anchored properties < 1%

Global Headwind: European bank equity sell-off (-6.2% MTD) on rising NPL fears may increase U.S. parent funding costs by 15–25 bps in Q1 2026.

Technology & Software: Enterprise AI Solutions

ABLE Platform v4.2 (Origination & Risk)

  • AI Decision Engine: 400+ alternative data signals; 94.2% approval accuracy in back-testing.
  • ASC 842 / IFRS 16 Module: Auto-classification + residual value forecasting; reduces audit adjustments by 72%.
  • Integration: Native REST APIs with nCino, Temenos, and FIS core systems.

Finastra Fusion Lease

  • End-to-end lease lifecycle; 30% reduction in closing cycle via smart contracts.
  • Embedded compliance engine flags 100% of state-specific usury violations in real time.

Emerging Trend: 68% of top-50 U.S. lessors now pilot ICA (Intelligent Conversational Assistants) for collections—average recovery lift: +19% within 90 days.

Senior Talent & Compensation Benchmarks

RoleBase RangeTotal CashRemote Eligibility
SVP, Retail Lending (AI Strategy)$220K–$295K↑ to $450KFull
Head of Lease Accounting Technology$185K–$240K↑ to $350KHybrid
Director, Embedded Finance (APIs)$170K–$215K↑ to $310KFull

Market Note: 711 active VP+ searches; blockchain + leasing expertise commands 18% premium.

Capital Markets & Financing Structures

Chevrolet Financial – National Lease Program

  • Equinox EV: 0.9% APR x 60 months + $3,500 federal incentive passthrough.
  • Residual Support: GM Financial guarantees 58% RV at 15K miles/year.
  • Portfolio Yield: 6.8% effective for lessors after incentive.

Mazda Capital Services

  • CX-30 Preferred: $169/mo x 36, $5,699 due at signing.
  • Subvention Rate: 2.1% floor; captive lessors retain full residual upside.

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Data sourced from CFPB, ELFA, Federal Reserve, S&P Global, and proprietary deal flow. Analysis independently verified.

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